Futuro del peso mexicano 14-12

A 25 bp rate hike on December 14 is a foregone conclusion. Fed funds futures and the yield curve on treasuries have fully priced in an expected midpoint of the target range to 62.5 bp. What matters then is the outlook for (and pace of) any rates hikes in 2017 and 2018. While sometimes discordant, the FOMC statement and the accompanying projection materials will both be valuable in shaping market expectations around further Fed moves toward policy normalization.


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